Probability Calculator
Probability Calculator
Enter two event probabilities and their overlap — the union, conditionals, and independence fall out.
| Quantity | Value |
|---|---|
| P(A ∪ B) — at least one | 68% |
| P(A ∩ B) — both | 12% |
| P(A | B) — A given B | 40% |
| P(B | A) — B given A | 24% |
| P(neither) | 32% |
| Independence check | Dependent |
Outcome Space
A only, B only, both, and neither — the four regions always total 100%
Probability Summary
Two Events, One Picture
Given the chances of event A, event B, and both happening together, this probability calculator reconstructs the full relationship between them: the union, the probability that neither occurs, both conditional probabilities, and whether the two events are independent.
The Union Needs the Overlap
Adding P(A) and P(B) double-counts the region where both occur. Subtracting P(A∩B) once corrects it — that is the inclusion–exclusion principle in its simplest form. When the events cannot co-occur, the overlap is zero and the formula collapses to plain addition.
Dependence Changes the Story
If P(A∩B) differs from P(A) × P(B), the events are dependent: knowing one changes the odds of the other. The conditional probabilities reveal exactly how — P(A|B) tells you the chance of A once B is known, which is the information that drives decision trees and Bayesian reasoning.
Frequently Asked Questions
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